Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.097236 8.338941 9.702631 11.307210 13.139113 15.160768 17.556003
2025-12-28 5.232031 6.955393 9.052586 11.771150 15.178130 19.280964 24.567031
2026-01-04 4.100974 6.021604 8.556933 12.099069 16.861813 22.978814 31.352204
2026-01-11 3.265949 5.227752 8.004361 12.135486 18.021721 25.986122 37.427630
2026-01-18 2.669914 4.618534 7.552693 12.164844 19.072147 28.839775 43.449709
2026-01-25 2.146638 4.000035 6.959523 11.856269 19.533572 30.833782 48.359770
2026-02-01 1.746175 3.492897 6.440807 11.556533 19.921320 32.688648 53.144473
2026-02-08 1.399672 3.004622 5.865115 11.064486 19.915751 33.899171 56.998983
2026-02-15 1.140801 2.621857 5.402863 10.683586 20.017605 35.239976 61.099723
2026-02-22 1.018811 2.481359 5.350901 11.001542 21.303228 38.545124 68.506627
2026-03-01 0.916941 2.361294 5.316185 11.337784 22.637507 42.009721 76.382386
2026-03-08 0.760945 2.089512 4.940360 10.979037 22.682630 43.288974 80.700994
2026-03-15 0.620397 1.831382 4.571862 10.629323 22.789651 44.825201 85.829949
2026-03-22 0.564817 1.770469 4.620657 11.142184 24.609469 49.579498 96.960272
2026-03-29 0.503028 1.678142 4.583631 11.469533 26.100192 53.856957 107.557785
2026-04-05 0.432971 1.543956 4.424492 11.507195 27.007426 57.117143 116.539413
2026-04-12 0.373331 1.422438 4.272549 11.535793 27.890299 60.385763 125.739855
2026-04-19 0.308715 1.265277 3.999532 11.241345 28.050653 62.258993 132.440813
2026-04-26 0.255442 1.126850 3.747082 10.955287 28.189704 64.085279 139.152356
2026-05-03 0.205246 0.980412 3.440775 10.485758 27.859748 64.926395 143.988769
2026-05-10 0.167060 0.863171 3.192033 10.122372 27.725377 66.143954 149.625864
2026-05-17 0.151724 0.831145 3.193991 10.425704 29.190219 70.818094 162.482871
2026-05-24 0.138374 0.802773 3.202032 10.746538 30.726378 75.744920 176.132338